关于论坛2013
来源：本站原创;发表于:2013-11-12;人气指数:2186
I.关于论坛 About The Forum
1.1论坛意义
近十多年来新兴经济体经济快速崛起，成为全球经济增长新引擎，2012年新兴经济体经济总量首次超过世界的一半，改写了由发达国家主导的世界传统发展格局。各种权威预测显示，未来新兴经济体还将继续保持较快增长势头，拉大与发达经济体的差距，预示着其在世界经济发展中的地位还将不断强化，其国际经贸合作潜力将持续扩大。为广东省拓展和深化与这些经济体的对外经贸投资合作水平提供新机遇及现实可能性。
首先，这些快速成长中经济体的中产阶级队伍将快速成长，市场潜力将迅速扩大。
其次，这些经济体的市场需求和购买能力特别适合广东省物美价廉的商品与服务出口供给能力。
再次，中国与新兴经济体传统的合作关系和不断深化的友好合作水平将为广东省与之发展经贸合作和实施走出去战略提供坚实保障。
最后，作为经济发展水平较高的广东省，其扩大和深化对新兴经济体的经贸与投资合作具有地理区位、交通运输、制造能力、技术水准、金融管理等诸多优势，而且很多广东企业已经进军新兴市场并取得了不俗的成就，如华为、中兴、格力在印度、俄罗斯、巴西市场占有率很高，欧派家居在非洲市场占有率也一直在稳步增长。
金融危机后,作为广东传统主要经贸合作伙伴的发达经济体经济持续低迷、市场需求不振，广东对外经贸与对外投资合作要取得新的突破、迈上新台阶，就必须要有新思路、寻找新伙伴、拓展新管道、而潜力远未挖掘的新兴经济体正好是不可多得的对象。实际上，最近两届的广交会统计显示，欧美日客商的订单和成交额持续下降，而来自新兴经济体尤其是俄罗斯、巴西、印度、非洲、中东等的客商增幅明显。
因此，加强与新兴经济体经贸与投资关系是广东未来提升对外经贸合作竞争力和影响力的关键所在。广东企业必须抓住对新兴经济体贸易与投资的重要战略机遇期。
但是，新兴经济体国家数量多、发展水平不一，市场多元化、复杂化突出。开拓这些潜力较大而成熟度较低的市场也充满风险和不确定性，国内学术界、实业界、经贸界等对其市场需求特点、变化趋势、法律规范、贸易规则、海关条例、投资潜力、信息服务等均存在很多盲点，迫切需要深入研究。尤其是作为外贸转型前沿的广东更应对开拓新兴市场高度自觉、自信和自力，深化对全球经济贸易发展长期趋势的研究、对开拓新兴市场的研究。为广东对外经贸合作取得新成就奠定基础支撑和务实指南。
经过多年的合作与发展，2012年广东省与新兴经济体的贸易已经占到全省总贸易的52.14%，新兴经济体在广东外贸发展中的作用越来越重要。
新兴经济体为广东省大批中小企业提供了大量投资与合作的空间。广东作为中国经济发达、开放程度最高的省份，应该在对外投资方面做出表率，而许多新兴经济体生产规模小，市场范围狭小，恰恰为广东省大批中小企业提供了大量投资与合作的空间。
中国新兴经济体研究会是为适应全面提高开放型经济水平的要求而成立的经民政部批准的国家级学会，业务指导单位为中国社会科学院，是党中央和国务院的重要智库。由该学会牵头在广州举办的“2013新兴经济体发展与合作论坛”对提高我省对外开放水平、形象宣传、外贸发展、企业竞争力提升、开拓新兴市场等具有重要的战略意义。
正是在这样的大背景下，中国新兴经济体研究会、中国国际文化交流中心、中国国际贸易促进委员会广东省委员会、 广东省新兴经济体研究会和广东工业大学决定在广东省广州市联合举办“2013新兴经济体合作与发展论坛---新兴经济体发展趋势与广东对外经贸合作新机遇”国际高峰论坛。
1.1 Significance of the Forum
For nearly 10 years emerging economies rise rapidly and have become a new engine of global economic growth. The Economic Aggregate of emerging economies in 2012 accounts for more than 50% of the world for the first time, which changed the traditional development pattern dominated by the developed countries. All kinds of authoritative forecasts suggest that in the future emerging economies will continue to maintain fast growth momentum, and, the gap with the developed economies shall continue to widen. This indicates that its status in the world economic development shall also strengthen nonstop, and the potential for international economic and trade cooperation will continue to expand. It provides new opportunities and realistic possibility for Guangdong province to expand and deepen the level of foreign trade and investment cooperation with these economies.
First of all, the middle class in the economies shall have a rapid growth, and market potential will be expanded greatly.
Secondly, the market demand and purchasing power of these economies are especially suitable for the export supply capacity of goods and services in Guangdong province, which are in nature both durable and economical.
Moreover, China and emerging economies have a traditional cooperative relationship. The deepening of cooperation level shall provide for Guangdong province a solid guarantee for economic and trade cooperation as well as the realization of the “going-out ” strategy .
Finally, Guangdong, as a province with higher level of economic development, has a wide variety of advantages for the expansion and deepening of cooperation in trade and investment with the emerging economies, such as advantages of geographical location, transportation, manufacturing capacity, technology level, financial management and so on. Moreover, Guangdong enterprises have already entered the emerging markets and have made great achievements. For instance, enterprises such as Huawei, ZTE and Gree enjoy a large market share in India, Russia and Brazil, while Optima home furnishing’s market share has been increasing steadily in Africa.
After the financial crisis, the developed economies, which used to be major traditional trade partners with Guangdong, continued to suffer a downturn in economics and were weak in demand. If Guangdong foreign trade and foreign investment cooperation wish to achieve new breakthroughs and upgrade, it’s a must to have new ideas, find new partners, expand new channels, and emerging economies with undeveloped potential just fit in very well. In fact, recent statistics of the two session of the Canton Fair shows that Europe and the United States customer orders and turnover continued to decline, and customers from emerging economies such as Brazil, Russia, India, Africa, and the Middle East have increased significantly.
Therefore, strengthening ties with the emerging economy trade and investment is the key to the future ascension of Guangdong’s foreign trade and economic cooperation as well as the advance of its competitiveness and influence. Guangdong enterprises must seize the important period of strategic opportunities and promote trade and investment with emerging economies.
However, emerging economies are large in number; they vary in development levels; their markets are diversified and complicated. To develop the potential but less mature market is full of risks and uncertainties. Practitioners of the academic, industry as well as trade fields still have many blind spots regarding the market demand characteristics, trends, laws and regulations, trade rules, customs regulations, investment potential and information services, which urgently need further studies. Especially Guangdong, as the frontier of the foreign trade transformation, shall endeavor to consciously, confidently and independently deal with the situations of emerging markets and deepen the studies of long-term development trend of the global economy and trade. This shall lay the foundation and give practical guide for Guangdong foreign trade and economic cooperation.
Through the cooperation and development, the trade between Guangdong Province and emerging economies have accounted for the province's total trade 52.14% in 2012 years, emerging economies is becoming more and more important to Guangdong foreign trade development.
Emerging economies provides a lot of opportunities about investment and cooperation to a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises in Guangdong Province. As the most developed province in China with the highest degree of opening up, Guangdong should play a leading role in overseas investment. Since many emerging economies only have small-scale industries as well as limited markets, there is enough space for Guangdong’s small and medium-scale enterprises to blossom.
Approved by the Ministry of Civil Affairs of PR China, China Society of Emerging Economies is a national society set up for the demand to comprehensively enhance the opening-up of Chinese economy. Under the guidance of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China Society of Emerging Economies has become an important think-tank for both the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council of People’s Republic of China. Emerging Economies Cooperation and Development Forum，led by the institute to be held in Guangzhou. This will be of strategical importance for Guangdong Province since it will contribute to enhancing its level of opening-up, broadcasting its image, developing its foreign trade, strengthening the competitiveness of enterprises and exploring the emerging markets.
It is in this context that China Society of Emerging Economies, China International Culture Exchange Centre, China Council for the Promotion of International Trade Guangdong Committee (CCPIT Guangdong), Guangdong Emerging Economies Society and Guangdong University of Technology decided to hold “2013 emerging economies Cooperation and development Forum- emerging economies development trend and Guangdong foreign economic and trade cooperation and new opportunities" international peak Forum.
1.2论坛宗旨
推动学术界对新兴经济体发展趋势与市场特点的研究
深化对新兴经济体、新兴市场的理论研究
为广东研究制订鼓励扩大对新兴市场的经贸投资合作政策建言献策
增进广东企业界对新兴市场机遇的认识了解
将论坛办成具有国际影响力的广州知名国际论坛
1.2 Objectives of the Forum
To promote academic study of the characteristics of the development trend of emerging economies and the market.
To deepen the theoretical study of emerging economies and emerging markets.
To formulate policy suggestions For Guangdong regarding the encouragement of trade and investment cooperation in emerging markets
To broaden the knowledge of Guangdong entrepreneurs regarding market opportunities in emerging economies
To widen the international influence of this Forum
1.3论坛设想
广东省新兴经济体研究会拟与中国新兴经济体研究会共同发起举办新兴经济体合作与发展论坛，邀请中国国际文化交流中心、广东工业大学参加，探索建立一种可持续的合作方式，将论坛发展成为每年一度的新兴经济体合作与发展论坛。每年根据世界经济热点和新兴经济体合作与发展情况选取一个论坛主题，举办国际性高端论坛，拟邀请国内政府部门、知名企业、研究机构、全球主要新兴经济体驻华机构与使领馆的政治、经济、外交、商务、学术等领域知名人士参会。条件成熟时，将在邀请新兴经济体政要、商界、学界参会的基础上，并进一步扩大邀请发达经济体代表参会名单。
1.3 Outlook of the forum
Guangdong Emerging Economies Society and China Society of Emerging Economies are planning to hold “emerging economies Cooperation and development Forum” together by inviting China International Culture Exchange Centre, Guangdong University of Technology to join in. With the vision to explore a sustainable cooperative way with the government, organizations and universities, we sincerely hope to hold the forum of The Cooperation and Development of emerging economies annually. Every year, the theme for our forum would be selected in accordance with hot topics of the world economy and emerging economies cooperation. To hold this high-profile international forum, we are planning to invite the government, well-known enterprises, Research Institute, as well as some celebrities in the field of politics, economy, diplomacy, business and academy from the main emerging economies agencies and embassies in China to attend the forum. Once conditions get mature, in addition to politicians, businessman and scholars from emerging economies, we will further expand the list of invitations and include representatives from developed economies.
1.4 2013论坛主题及形式
2013新兴经济体合作与发展论坛拟定于11月11日在广州举行。论坛主题为“新兴经济体发展趋势与广东对外经贸合作新机遇”，论坛将分设开幕式、总论坛和分论坛。
每年论坛主题兼顾官学商主要利益关注点，力求发挥政策影响、企业咨询和学术交流三位一体的功效。
1.4 The 2013 forum: Form and Theme
“Emerging Economies Cooperation and Development Forum” of 2013 is to be held in Guangzhou in November 11, the theme of which is “Emerging economies development trend and Guangdong foreign economic and trade cooperation and new opportunities”. The Forum will set up the opening ceremony, the general forum and points.
Each year the forum theme shall give consideration to major interests focuses of the government, the academic fields and the business circles, and shall strive to have the triple effects of policy influence, business consulting as well as academic exchange.
1.5论坛主要议题
1.全球经济复苏、再平衡与全球经济治理
（1）全球经济复苏态势及困境
（2）全球经济再平衡的路径与方向
（3）全球新兴产业和技术竞争趋势
（4）全球保护主义的表现与发展趋势
（5）全球经济治理变革与新兴经济体角色
2.新兴经济体持续增长及面临的挑战
（1）新兴经济体的经济增长前景与挑战
（2）全球生产要素流动、产业转移与新兴经济体的新兴产业发展
（3）新兴经济体城镇化路径：比较与借鉴
（4）全球并购与新兴经济体对外投资
（5）新兴经济体与全球贸易格局
（6）金砖国家合作的现状与未来
（7）金砖国家贸易政策与产业政策协调
（8）中国与新兴经济体跨国企业合作
3.新兴经济体与发达经济体博弈与互动
（1）发达经济体宽松货币政策对新兴经济体的影响
（2）安倍经济学与日本经济复苏以及对新兴经济体的影响
（3）美国、欧盟、日本的新区域一体化政策
（4）TPP与TTIP谈判及其对中国影响
4.广东经济发展与新兴经济体经贸合作
（1）从广交会看广东与新兴经济体的贸易
（2）广东贸易发展新领域：新兴经济体
（3）广交会转型：路径与方向
（4）广东在新兴经济体的投资机会与重点投资领域
（5）建立广东企业对新兴经济体投资的产业联动机制
（6）建立广东投资新兴经济体促进平台
1.5 Topics of the Forum
1.The Global Economic Recovery, Rebalancing and Global Economic Governance
(1)Recovery and Trouble of World Economic
(2)Paths and Directions of World Economic Rebalancing
(3)Trends of Global Emerging Industries and Technological Cooperation
(4)Manifestations of Global Protectionism and Its Future Development
(5)Reform of World Economic Governance and the role of Emerging Economies thereof
2.Emerging Economies, their continued economic growth and the challenges they face
(1)Prospects of Emerging Economies’ Development and the Challenges They Face
(2)Movements of Production Factors of Emerging Economies and Shifts of Industries
(3)Comparative Analysis of the Urbanization of Emerging Economies and Their Implications
(4)Global M&A and overseas investment of Emerging Economies
(5)Emerging Economies and World Trade Patterns
(6)Current Cooperation of BRIC Countries and Its Future
(7)Coordination of Trade and Industrial Policies among BRIC States
(8)Cooperation between China and Emerging Economies
3.The Game and Interaction between Emerging Economies and Developed Economies
(1)The Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy of Developed Economies and its Influences towards Emerging Economies
(2)Abenomics, the Recovery of Japan’s Economy, and their Impacts upon Emerging Economies
(3)New Regionalism Policies of US, EU, Japan and Russia
(4)TPP, TTIP Negotiations and their Impacts against China
4.Guangdong and Emerging Economies
(1)The Canton Fair----an Indication of Trade between Guangdong and Emerging Economies
(2)New Sphere of Guangdong’s Trade Development: Emerging Economies
(3)Transformation of the Canton Fair: Paths and Directions
(4)Investment Opportunities of Guangdong in Emerging Economies and Key Investment Fields
(5)Industry Linkage Mechanism of Guangdong Enterprises’ Investment in Emerging Economies
(6)The Establishment of Stimulate Platform Serving Guangdong Enterprises Investing in Emerging Economies
1.6 论坛合作媒体
合作期刊：
《世界经济》The Journal of World Economy
《世界经济与政治》World economics and Politics
《国际经济评论》International Economic Review
《国际贸易问题》International Trade Journal
《国际贸易》Intertrade
《国际经贸探索》International Economics and Trade Research
《亚太经济》Asia-pacific Economic Review
《新兴经济体研究》Emerging Economics Studies
《中国社会科学报》Chinese Social Science Newspaper
《国民经济评论》National Economic Review
《南方都市报》 Southern Metropolis Daily
《广州日报》Guangzhou Daily
《羊城晚报》Yangcheng Evening News
《南方周末》Southern Weekend
电视媒体TV media
《广东电视台珠江频道》Guangdong Zhujiang channel
《中央电视台》CCTV