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​Trends and Prospects for Indian-China Trade and Entrepreneurship

来源: InfoBrics;发表于:2024-03-26;人气指数:41

Tuesday, March 26, 2024

 


Trends and Prospects for Indian-China Trade and Entrepreneurship

Tatiana Bokova, Intern of the Russian National Committee on BRICS Research – special for InfoBRICS

Trade and entrepreneurship are crucial in shaping the broader bilateral relations between India and China. Beyond the economic realm, they serve as channels for cultural exchange, technological cooperation and diplomatic engagement. India and China, being two of the world’s fastest-growing economies, recognise the immense potential for mutual benefit through increased trade and entrepreneurial ventures. Both countries have the potential for collaboration in various areas, such as infrastructure construction, energy resource development, information technology, agriculture, and pharmaceuticals. India and China share common interests and have opportunities for coordination within regional and multilateral frameworks such as BRICS, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.

A network of bilateral agreements and trade policies designed to promote cooperation shaped the policy environment for India-China trade relations, facilitate trade flows and resolve disputes. Over the years, both countries have entered into numerous agreements covering a wide range of areas, including trade facilitation, investment protection, intellectual property rights and market access. These agreements form the basis of the bilateral trade relationship and provide a framework for engagement and cooperation between Indian and Chinese companies. In addition, trade policies implemented by both governments aim to promote economic growth, enhance competitiveness and address trade imbalances. For example, initiatives such as the India-China Strategic Economic Dialogue and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) have played a key role in shaping the policy landscape and driving forward-looking agendas for bilateral economic cooperation.

Changes in China's regulations have a significant impact on Indian companies operating in or trading with the country. The regulatory environment in China is complex and subject to frequent revision, creating challenges for Indian companies seeking to navigate the market effectively. For example, changes in customs regulations, taxation policies and licensing requirements can affect the cost of doing business and disrupt supply chains. Furthermore, shifts in Chinese government policies, such as the "Made in China 2025" initiative to promote indigenous innovation and technology development, can influence market dynamics and the competitive landscape, creating both opportunities and challenges for Indian companies. In addition, regulatory uncertainties arising from geopolitical tensions or trade disputes between India and China can add to the complexity of doing business and require Indian companies to adopt adaptive strategies. Despite these challenges, Indian companies continue to adapt to regulatory changes, capitalise on growth opportunities and build resilience in the face of evolving market dynamics in China.

The trade relationship between India and China has undergone significant changes over the years, reflecting the dynamic nature of both economies. Historically, the two nations have engaged in trade for centuries, exchanging goods such as spices, silk, and tea dating back to ancient times along the fabled Silk Road. However, in recent times, the scale and complexity of trade between India and China have grown exponentially. In 2022, China became one of India’s largest trading partners, with bilateral trade worth US$136.2 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.5 per cent. Moreover, China was India’s third largest trading partner. In the 23rd fiscal year, China accounted for 13.8 per cent of India’s total imports. India imported $715.9 billion worth of goods from the world, including $98.5 billion from China.

“Over shown a positive momentum of the past year, China-India relations have sides maintained high-level communications and The two improvement. interactions. President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Modi reached important consensus on stabilizing bilateral ties. China supported India’s presidency of both G20 and SCO,” Ma Jia, Chargé d’Affaires a.i. of Chinese Embassy in India pointed out, addressing guests at a reception held at the Chinese Embassy in Delhi in February.

Several key industries stand out as the main drivers of trade growth between India and China. In particular, the electronics and technology sector has expanded exponentially, fuelled by a growing demand for consumer electronics, smartphones and digital infrastructure in both countries. India’s imports of electronic goods from China have soared, contributing significantly to the overall volume of trade. In addition, the pharmaceutical industry has emerged as another major contributor, with India exporting a significant volume of generic drugs and pharmaceutical ingredients to China. Sectors such as automobiles, renewable energy and biotechnology have also seen increased cooperation and trade activity, reflecting the diversification of economic ties between the two nations.

According to the statistics, India exported 4,455 commodities to China in 2023. Major exported items from India to China include iron ore (US$1.9 billion), followed by engineering goods (US$1.64 billion), others (US$1.25 billion), marine products (US$1.03 billion), and petroleum products (US$796 million), etc. April- November 2023. India imported 7,481 commodities from China last year. Major items imported from China include electrical machinery and equipment (US$19.9 billion), followed by nuclear reactors and parts (US$14.9 billion), organic chemicals (US$8.19 billion), plastic and articles (US$3.8 billion), and fertilizers (US$1.9 billion) etc. in April- November 2023.Imports from China to India stood at US$68.01 billion during April-November 2023.

In terms of entrepreneurship, the emergence of Indian startups in Chinese markets and vice versa is a notable trend in the dynamic entrepreneurial landscape between the two countries. Over the past decade, an increasing number of Indian startups have entered the Chinese market, attracted by the vast consumer base, developed investment ecosystem and opportunities for collaboration and innovation. For example, startups such as Paytm, Ola and Zomato have successfully expanded into China by leveraging strategic partnerships, local market insights and innovative offerings. These companies have demonstrated resilience, adaptability and entrepreneurial acumen by navigating the complexities of the Chinese market and overcoming challenges such as regulatory hurdles, cultural differences and fierce competition. At the same time, according to the Indian Embassy, there are more than 100 Chinese companies operating in India. Examples include Sinosteel Group, Shougang International (engineering and infrastructure construction), Huawei Technologies, ZTE, Haier (electronics, information technology and hardware) and others.

Despite the positive trajectory of Indian trade with China, businesses from India encounter various challenges in navigating the bilateral economic landscape. One significant challenge is the persistence of trade imbalances, wherein India’s trade deficit with China remains substantial. This deficit is primarily driven by the import-heavy nature of bilateral trade, particularly in sectors such as electronics and machinery. The data shows that the merchandise trade deficit between India and mainland China has exceeded US$100 billion and the trade balance level has fallen to 75%. This result shows that India is facing more pressure to trade goods with mainland China and needs to pay more attention to balanced trade relations to achieve sustainable economic development.

Additionally, regulatory complexities and non-tariff barriers pose obstacles to Indian businesses seeking to access the Chinese market. Issues such as intellectual property rights protection, market access restrictions, and bureaucratic red tape often impede the smooth flow of goods and services between the two countries. Moreover, geopolitical tensions and occasional trade disputes add another layer of uncertainty for Indian businesses operating in or trading with China. Despite these challenges, Indian entrepreneurs and businesses continue to explore avenues for collaboration, innovation, and market expansion, leveraging opportunities for mutual benefit in the dynamic Indo-Chinese economic relationship.

In conclusion, the trajectory of Indian trade and entrepreneurship in China is strong and promising, and both nations have compelling opportunities and incentives for economic cooperation. Despite historical complexities and contemporary challenges, the relationship between the two economic powerhouses continues to evolve, driven by mutual interests and a desire for prosperity. As Indian startups increasingly venture into Chinese markets and bilateral trade flourishes, the potential for collaboration and innovation is limitless. Looking ahead, the future is promising, with emerging industries such as artificial intelligence, renewable energy and digital innovation paving the way for deeper economic integration and overall growth. With a spirit of resilience, innovation and partnership, India and China are poised to navigate the complexities of the global economy and build a future based on mutual success and strong partnership.

BRICS Information Portal

Source: InfoBrics

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